COVID-19 Predictive Analytics Tool

The following model is derived from 230 patients at UCI Medical Center through 01/16/2021. To estimate patient risk, enter the following lab values and comorbities, as available; empty fields are allowed.

If there are questions or problems that you notice on the website, please contact Peter Chang, MD:

Input Variable Value Percentile
Age (years)
Gender (0=F, 1=M)
Comorbidities (HTN, DM, Obesity / BMI > 30, Asthma/COPD, CKD/ESRD, CVD)
BMI (kg/m2)
Respiratory Rate
WBC (1000/mcL)
Lymphocyte (%)
Creatinine (mg/dL)
Troponin-HS (ng/L)
Ferritin (ng/mL)
Procalcitonin (ng/mL)
CRP-HS (mg/dL)
Probability of requiring ventilator support or ICU admission 0.0

Details of Scoring System

The vulnerability score (VS) provided above represents an approximate likelihood (percent probability) for ventilator support or ICU admission based on historic data. Note that the interpretation of the VS may evolve over time as the underlying distribution of patients and risk factors changes. As needed, the following positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) calculations may be used to better understand the meaning of the probability scores:

PPV: Out of 0 patients with a score greater than 0.0, a total of 0 (0.0%) required ICU admission.

NPV: Out of 0 patients with a score less than 0.0, a total of 0 (0.0%) did not require ICU admission.